FILIPINOS CAN MAKE OR UNMAKE A U.S. PRESIDENT

My barber asked again what my take is re the Obama-Romney Presidential Battle.

With the help of online sources and cyber technology, this is my humble analysis. Because of the Electoral College System, we have to analyze the polls per State and correspondingly project what would be the results. Looking at the Electoral College Map projected by the conservative Rasmussen Report and the Real Clear Politics, which averages all the polls; I would say that the Electoral College Map would show the following results:

Obama: 257 Electoral Votes   Romney: 215 Electoral Votes    Swing: 66 Electoral Votes

The Swing States are:

1.         Florida:          29

2.         Ohio:              18

3.         Virginia:         13

4.         Nevada:           6

Total:                          66

To win the elections, one must have at least 270 Electoral Votes

ARITHMETIC:

ROMNEY

To win, Romney needs to obtain additional 55 Electoral Votes. To become President, he must win in Florida, Ohio, and Virginia, which would give him a total of 60 additional votes – more than enough to cover the 55 needed. He cannot afford to lose in any of these 3 States. Winning in 2 and Nevada would not be sufficient.

OBAMA

To win, Obama needs to obtain additional 13 Electoral Votes. His is an easier path than Romney’s. All he needs is to win in Virginia, Ohio, or Florida. Winning Virginia would give him a total of 270, the magic number; Ohio a total of 275; and Florida, a total of 286.

Unless one unexpectedly falters in another State and Nevada is needed to cover it, at this point based on the above scenario, the latter is not as important to Obama or Romney as the other 3 States. This explains why Obama and Romney are spending much time, money, and efforts in these States.

Filipino Americans Can Make a Difference

The Filipinos are largely concentrated in the following States: 1. California; 2. Hawaii; 3. Illinois; 4. Washington; 5. New Jersey; 6. New York;  7. Texas; 8. Nevada; 9. Florida; 10. Virginia.

While the Filipinos are not as large in Ohio, in a close race, they can still make a difference especially if they unite with the other Asians as they have done in the past.

In the first 6 States mentioned above, Filipino Republicans or Pro-Romney Filipinos cannot make a difference. These States are so overwhelmingly Pro-Obama that Filipino Republicans cannot make a dent.

In the State of Texas, it is the opposite. Filipino Democrats or Pro-Obama Filipinos cannot make a difference. Texas is overwhelmingly Pro-Romney that Filipino Democratic votes would be useless.

Virginia, Florida, Nevada and Ohio are Swing States that Filipinos can really make a difference.

Every vote counts! Let me repeat. To be President, Romney must win in Virginia, Florida AND Ohio. To be President, Obama must win in Virginia, Florida, OR Ohio.

If Filipinos register and vote in these 3 States, indeed, they can either MAKE or UNMAKE a U.S. President!